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Tracking Elon Musk's predictions and promises.
Because accountability matters.
"Tracking promises since mass production was 'definitely' starting next month"
Average "Elon Time" multiplier: 2x
(When things are late, they're this much later than promised)
88 predictions tracked
Prediction came true on time. Counts as 100%.
Eventually happened, but after the deadline. Counts as 50%.
Didn't happen and deadline passed. Counts as 0%.
MuskOmeter is an independent editorial project that documents public Elon Musk predictions, deadlines, and outcomes in one searchable place.
Public promises shape expectations for investors, customers, fans, critics, and the wider press. MuskOmeter exists to turn those promises into a track record that can be reviewed over time instead of disappearing into a fast-moving news cycle. We collect public statements, link back to original sources when possible, and present them with dates, categories, and status labels that are easy to understand at a glance.
The goal is not to manufacture outrage. The goal is to make timelines and claims legible. Some predictions are fulfilled, some arrive late, and some do not happen at all. Putting those outcomes side by side helps visitors judge the overall accuracy of repeated promises instead of relying on isolated headlines or memory. That is why each prediction page includes a source, a deadline when one exists, and resolution notes when the status changes.
If you want more detail on the scoring system, visit the methodology page. If you know about a missing claim, you can also submit a prediction for review. MuskOmeter is not affiliated with Elon Musk or any of his companies.
Short answers to the most common questions about the site, the data, and the review process.
MuskOmeter is a public tracker for Elon Musk predictions and promises. It gathers statements from public sources, assigns a status, and keeps a permanent record of whether those claims were fulfilled on time, late, partially, or not at all.
We rely on public source material, published dates, and follow-up evidence for the final outcome. The scoring approach is explained in more detail on the methodology page.
Yes. Visitors can use the submission form to send a public quote, source link, and relevant context for review before it is added to the database.
No. MuskOmeter is an independent project and has no official relationship with Elon Musk, X, Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, Neuralink, or any related company.
This is a satirical website for entertainment purposes. We track publicly made predictions and their outcomes based on available evidence. Not affiliated with Elon Musk or any of his companies.
The newest entries added to MuskOmeter. Each card links to the full source, current status, and timeline so visitors can quickly understand what was promised, when it was said, and whether it has happened yet.
"Neuralink will begin human trials by 2020"
"Tesla robotaxis will be functionally ready this year"
"I'm hopeful that the first people could be taken to Mars in 10 to 12 years, I think it's certainly possible for that to occur"
"Tesla will have 500 Robotaxis in Austin by the end of the year"
"A Tesla car next year will probably be 90 percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of your miles can be on auto. For sure highway travel."
"I'm extremely confident that Tesla will have Level 5 [full autonomy] next year, extremely confident, 100%"