Digging up the dead predictions...
A memorial for predictions that never came true.Rest in peace, broken promises.
“I'm hopeful that the first people could be taken to Mars in 10 to 12 years, I think it's certainl...”
Supply chain issues took it away
“The basic news is that all Tesla vehicles leaving the factory have all the hardware necessary for...”
Full Self-Driving to the grave
“I think we'll probably have autonomous ride hailing in probably half the population of the U.S. b...”
Battery drained permanently
“If you take this year's revenue, around $6 billion or thereabout, and if we're able to maintain a...”
Still waiting on that software update
“Tesla will have 500 Robotaxis in Austin by the end of the year”
“Model 2 (affordable Tesla) will start production in 2025”
“Most epic demo ever by the end of the year”
Broken before its time
“Tesla Semi will begin volume production in 2025”
May it rest in Elon Time
“Tesla foresees volume growth increasing by 20-30% in 2025”
“SpaceX will send humans to Mars by 2024”
Promised too much, delivered too little
“Point-to-point Earth travel via Starship by 2024”
Mars will have to wait
“Grok will be the most intelligent AI”
“SpaceX will send humans to Mars by 2024, paving the way for a full colony”
“Twitter will hit 1 billion users”
Posted its final tweet
“Twitter Blue will solve the bot problem”
“Tesla Roadster will have SpaceX rocket thrusters”
“SpaceX will fly tourists around the Moon in 2018”
“Cybertruck will start under $40,000”
Autopilot engaged to the afterlife
“Twitter will be profitable within 3 months of changes”
“Starship orbital flight by end of 2020”
Rapid unscheduled disassembly
“Starship will be ready for first Mars cargo mission in 2022”
“The Boring Company will build a $45 million tunnel connecting Ontario International Airport to a ...”
Underground and forgotten
“Tesla will achieve Level 5 autonomy by 2021”
“I'm extremely confident that Tesla will have Level 5 [full autonomy] next year, extremely confide...”
“Kids are essentially immune [to COVID-19]”
Production hell claimed another one
“The Boring Company will build a 35-mile tunnel connecting Washington DC and Baltimore using high-...”
“Tesla will produce 1 million cars per year by 2020”
“Tesla will have 1 million robotaxis on the road by 2020”
“Boring Company will build Chicago express loop”
Stuck in permitting purgatory
“Tesla will have over a million robotaxis on the road next year”
“Tesla robotaxis will be functionally ready this year”
“I feel very confident predicting autonomous robotaxis for Tesla next year. Not in all jurisdictio...”
“Based on current trends, probably close to zero new cases in US too by end of April”
Gone but not forgotten
“Probably close to zero new [covid] cases in US by end of April”
“Full Self-Driving will be feature complete by end of 2019”
“You'll be able to sleep in your Tesla while it drives in about two years”
“Chicago Express Loop will transport people from downtown to O'Hare Airport in 12 minutes at 125-1...”
“In ~2 years, summon should work anywhere connected by land & not blocked by borders, eg you're in...”
“Am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”
“We'll be able to do a demonstration drive of full autonomy all the way from LA to New York, from ...”
“Tesla vehicles will drive themselves with full autonomy within two years”
“SpaceX Red Dragon will land on Mars in 2018”
“We should be able to do 90 percent of miles driven [autonomously] within three years”
“We should be able to do 90 percent of miles driven [autonomously] within three years.”
“A Tesla car next year will probably be 90 percent capable of autopilot. Like, so 90 percent of yo...”
“I tend to be optimistic with timelines.”— Elon Musk
